As the 2024 U.S. presidential election looms, speculation runs high on Polymarket over whether Donald Trump, if re-elected, would deport 750,000 or more people in 2025. The market’s current odds suggest a 58% likelihood of this outcome, reflecting significant uncertainty among bettors. With a volume of $409,306, this bet has captivated attention.
The odds lean towards the deportations occurring, primarily due to Trump’s previous hardline immigration policies. His administration was known for its aggressive stance on deportations, which seems to bolster confidence among bettors that he would continue or intensify these policies if back in power. Additionally, Trump’s current political rhetoric suggests a return to such strategies, further influencing market sentiment.
Potential Winnings
If you place a $1,000 bet on Trump deporting 750,000 or more people, the payout would be $1,724, reflecting the current odds in favor of this scenario. Conversely, betting against this outcome would yield $1,724 if successful, as the odds remain balanced.
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