The economic crystal ball is murky for 2025, with a Polymarket bet suggesting a 60% chance of negative GDP growth. As global economies grapple with inflation, interest rate fluctuations, and geopolitical tensions, bettors are leaning toward a recessionary scenario.
Current odds on Polymarket indicate a majority belief in a potential economic contraction. This sentiment likely stems from ongoing economic uncertainties, including supply chain disruptions and central banks’ monetary policies aimed at reining in inflation. Additionally, the risk of geopolitical tensions further exacerbating economic instability cannot be ignored.
Potential Winnings: If you place a $1,000 bet on negative GDP growth, the payout would be approximately $1,666.67, given the current odds. Conversely, betting against it could yield $2,500, reflecting the odds favoring a downturn.
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