The political betting scene is buzzing once again, this time with a high-stakes wager on whether former President Donald Trump will deport between 750,000 and 1,000,000 people. Available on Polymarket, this bet has already garnered a massive $402,852 in volume. https://polymarket.com/market/will-trump-deport-750000-1000000-people
Contextually, the bet hinges on Trump’s potential return to the presidency and his historically tough stance on immigration policies. However, the odds suggest that 65% of bettors are skeptical of such a large-scale deportation effort materializing.
Why the skepticism? The odds reflect a combination of factors: political analysts suggest that logistical challenges, potential legal battles, and public backlash make mass deportations on this scale difficult. Additionally, the changing demographics and attitudes in the U.S. may further dissuade such actions.
Potential Winnings
If you place a $1,000 bet on Trump deporting 750,000-1,000,000 people, the payout would be approximately $2,857, reflecting the current long odds against it. Conversely, a $1,000 bet that he won’t would pay around $1,538, indicating stronger confidence in this outcome.
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