The latest betting odds on Polymarket suggest a 60% likelihood that former President Donald Trump will deport between 250,000 and 500,000 people. This bet comes amidst ongoing debates about immigration policy, particularly concerning the Trump administration’s historical stance on deportations.
Why Odds Favor Deportation
With Trump’s immigration policies often focusing on stricter enforcement, bettors are leaning towards a higher likelihood of mass deportations if he regains power. The historical context of his previous term, marked by efforts to tighten immigration controls and increase deportation rates, bolsters this belief. The odds reflect a sentiment that Trump’s return could revive these policies, despite the current administration’s more lenient approach.
Potential Winnings
If you place a $1,000 bet on Trump deporting 250,000-500,000 people, you stand to win $1,666.67, given the 60% odds. Conversely, betting against deportation with the same amount could return $2,500 if Trump does not meet the market’s criteria.
Trade this market: View on Polymarket
