As global trade tensions simmer, bettors on Polymarket are weighing in on whether tariffs will exceed $250 billion in 2025. With a current betting volume of $1,094,332, the market shows a tilt towards tariffs not reaching this significant figure.
The odds lean towards a “No” outcome, reflecting skepticism about escalating trade barriers. This sentiment may be driven by hopes for improved international relations and trade agreements that could ease tariff tensions, despite ongoing geopolitical uncertainties. Economists also suggest that global supply chain adjustments and diplomatic negotiations might prevent such a large tariff imposition.
Potential Winnings
If you place a $1,000 bet on tariffs not exceeding $250 billion, the payout would be approximately $1,850, reflecting the current odds favoring this outcome. Conversely, betting on tariffs surpassing the $250 billion mark could yield a higher return, with a potential payout of $3,450, given the long odds against it.
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